Pre-tourney Rankings
Arkansas Little Rock
Sun Belt
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#223
Expected Predictive Rating-1.7#194
Pace72.5#69
Improvement-2.6#278

Offense
Total Offense-3.9#273
Improvement-2.2#256

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#157
Improvement-0.4#192
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 334   Tennessee Martin W 84-68 90%     1 - 0 -1.4 -5.8 +3.0
  Nov 14, 2012 86   @ Louisiana Tech L 52-70 13%     1 - 1 -9.1 -15.3 +7.1
  Nov 16, 2012 32   @ Mississippi L 52-92 5%     1 - 2 -25.0 -20.2 -0.3
  Nov 19, 2012 292   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 59-43 78%     2 - 2 +4.4 -11.5 +17.9
  Nov 21, 2012 296   Jacksonville W 78-56 79%     3 - 2 +10.1 -2.9 +12.2
  Nov 24, 2012 181   SMU W 69-56 40%     4 - 2 +12.1 +4.9 +8.7
  Nov 25, 2012 194   South Carolina L 62-74 42%     4 - 3 -13.3 -9.5 -4.3
  Nov 29, 2012 272   Troy W 58-56 73%     5 - 3 1 - 0 -7.9 -10.6 +3.0
  Dec 01, 2012 326   Louisiana Monroe W 83-58 86%     6 - 3 2 - 0 +9.7 -0.6 +9.3
  Dec 06, 2012 38   @ Cincinnati L 53-87 6%     6 - 4 -19.5 -18.4 +4.7
  Dec 15, 2012 175   Tulsa W 72-65 51%     7 - 4 +3.2 -8.0 +10.5
  Dec 17, 2012 86   Louisiana Tech L 73-75 29%     7 - 5 +0.4 -0.1 +0.6
  Dec 22, 2012 202   @ South Alabama L 62-77 32%     7 - 6 2 - 1 -13.6 -10.2 -2.9
  Dec 29, 2012 233   @ Louisiana L 70-79 40%     7 - 7 2 - 2 -9.8 -4.8 -4.8
  Jan 03, 2013 183   Western Kentucky W 75-67 53%     8 - 7 3 - 2 +3.8 -4.2 +7.7
  Jan 05, 2013 272   @ Troy L 64-67 50%     8 - 8 3 - 3 -6.5 -7.1 +0.4
  Jan 10, 2013 261   North Texas W 67-53 70%     9 - 8 4 - 3 +5.0 -1.5 +8.1
  Jan 12, 2013 187   Florida International W 88-76 54%     10 - 8 5 - 3 +7.6 +5.7 +0.9
  Jan 17, 2013 52   @ Middle Tennessee L 50-82 7%     10 - 9 5 - 4 -18.9 -16.2 -1.6
  Jan 19, 2013 183   @ Western Kentucky W 59-54 29%     11 - 9 6 - 4 +7.3 -7.3 +15.1
  Jan 24, 2013 234   Florida Atlantic W 65-62 65%     12 - 9 7 - 4 -4.4 -4.0 -0.1
  Jan 26, 2013 261   @ North Texas W 62-57 46%     13 - 9 8 - 4 +2.5 -8.9 +11.5
  Feb 02, 2013 202   South Alabama L 66-70 56%     13 - 10 8 - 5 -9.1 -9.3 +0.3
  Feb 07, 2013 326   @ Louisiana Monroe W 70-60 70%     14 - 10 9 - 5 +1.2 -6.2 +7.5
  Feb 14, 2013 150   @ Arkansas St. L 62-86 24%     14 - 11 9 - 6 -20.0 -7.1 -12.3
  Feb 16, 2013 52   Middle Tennessee L 61-66 17%     14 - 12 9 - 7 +1.6 -9.8 +11.6
  Feb 21, 2013 187   @ Florida International L 52-65 30%     14 - 13 9 - 8 -10.9 -22.3 +12.1
  Feb 23, 2013 234   @ Florida Atlantic L 59-73 40%     14 - 14 9 - 9 -15.0 -10.5 -5.3
  Feb 28, 2013 233   Louisiana W 77-68 65%     15 - 14 10 - 9 +1.7 -5.6 +6.7
  Mar 02, 2013 150   Arkansas St. W 78-71 46%     16 - 14 11 - 9 +4.5 +7.1 -2.6
  Mar 09, 2013 187   Florida International L 54-69 41%     16 - 15 -16.1 -21.2 +5.7
Projected Record 16.0 - 15.0 11.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 100.0% 100.0
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%